• red_green_black@slrpnk.net
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      1
      ·
      4 天前

      Probably not. The French left, right, and Macronist Center Right clearly have an evenish split with none of the three blocks big on giving one another a majority. So power is going to be who gets the plurality

        • red_green_black@slrpnk.net
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          1
          ·
          3 天前

          It’s a dead heat for second place. And while polls say that I am not 100% sure they are accounting for tactical voting

          • Womble@piefed.world
            link
            fedilink
            English
            arrow-up
            1
            ·
            2 天前

            There is no tactical voting in the second round of a presidential election, there are only 2 candidates. It would be a straight up choice of do the French people prefer a centrist/leftist or a fascist.

            • red_green_black@slrpnk.net
              link
              fedilink
              English
              arrow-up
              1
              ·
              22 小时前

              aka a tactical vote as one literally has the option to not vote or spoil their ballot (risk of causing a vote split situation obviously but still.)

              • Womble@piefed.world
                link
                fedilink
                English
                arrow-up
                1
                ·
                18 小时前

                I guess. Bit odd to describe just a regular vote of picking one of the two available options as tactical voting though. The polling definitely takes people voting into account.

                • red_green_black@slrpnk.net
                  link
                  fedilink
                  English
                  arrow-up
                  1
                  ·
                  14 小时前

                  polling takes into account what one answers. if someone where to say they would not pick one or the other well then they couldn’t be marked down, the polls in this situation doesn’t have an undecided option.

      • Sunshine@piefed.caOP
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        1
        ·
        4 天前

        I do not understand how the second round voting system works. Quebec has first-past-the-post 🤢

        • red_green_black@slrpnk.net
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          2
          ·
          4 天前

          If no majority wins in first round the top two face off in the second round. This usually results in a electoral tactical vite of some kind