• 54 Posts
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Joined 3 years ago
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Cake day: June 9th, 2023

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  • It is not just cutting research funding, but also making migrating to the US much much harder. The US has amazing pay for the absolute top researchers, which makes it attractive for even migrants from other developed countries. However life in most other countries is better then one of the new migrant concentration camps the US is building with ICE.

    Probably the Anglosphere apart from the US and then other rich developed countries will benefit fro this the most. They all have somewhat working migration systems in place to attract talent. China so far lacks that, but they probably set one up soon.





  • If Iran loses the war, due to either a massive US ground invasion(will turn out bad for the US, but whatever) or them losing control of the country, would add Irans massive oil supply to the global market and lower oil prices a lot. If there is peace in the region, oil prices would also fall. If prices continue to be high, then EV adoption will lower oil consumption. Also shale takes like 3-6months to start a new project. So prices will fall. With $100 WTI, the oil price is also lower then the peak in 2022.

    Also Ukraine can hit Russian oil exports as well and has done so as well.











  • First of all, it is not that relevant anymore, but Trump makes for great news stories, which create a lot of clicks. We are probably at the point, that the US needs to invade Ukraine to end that war for Russia.

    Other then that the US still sanctions Russia, which is helpful. They also sell weapons to Europe and especially Ukraine, which are hard to replace(Patriot missiles for example). Also it is really useful to have the US at least pretend to want to defend Europe. Then you have the massive economic war going on and that actually hurts Europe.

    So Europe seems to kiss Trumps ass, while working pretty hard on alternatives. Part of that is financing Ukrainian drones to blow up tankers and other export facilities to replace sanctions. European weapons industry needs more capacity and some capabilities to US weapons, which is being worked on right now(for Patriot that is more Aster missiles for SMAP/T and Iris-t SLX for example). As for the tariff war, we currently see the massive trade deals with Mercosur and India to replace the US somewhat.