Who is winning?
Since the launch of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the information space around the war has been obsessed with this deceptively simple question, and the constant new iterations of answers to it.
In the hands of those fighting the narrative war, from officials on both sides, online cheerleaders, armchair generals, and a certain world leader who likes to talk about who has the cards, the answers differ radically, but all are delivered with consistent venom, emotion, and
The tide has clearly been stopped for now. I think that in half a year to a year from now, we can see if the tide turned, if Ukraine systematically takes back land. I’m a bit worried about Russia’s development of their own drone forces, it’s not inconceivable that they close the gap in the near future and then start pushing again. Hopefully they won’t have the finances to pull it off.
The tide has clearly been stopped for now. I think that in half a year to a year from now, we can see if the tide turned, if Ukraine systematically takes back land. I’m a bit worried about Russia’s development of their own drone forces, it’s not inconceivable that they close the gap in the near future and then start pushing again. Hopefully they won’t have the finances to pull it off.