Russia seems pretty damn confused about whether the future is oil or not, or rather just in denial about oil NOT being the future.
Russia seems pretty damn confused about whether the future is oil or not, or rather just in denial about oil NOT being the future.
They know it’s not oil. But they have the necessity of stretching that oil as far as they possibly can.
I don’t disagree with that assessment, but from that perspective one of the broad longterm drivers for the onset of full-on-war in 2022 was driven by the structural dead end that russia set itself up with with regards to the green energy transition leaving them in the dust with hardly any domestic industry focused on it.
Setting themselves up to fail, they could only see Europe’s attempt to begin to slowly move away from dependence on fossil fuels, russia’s included, as a direct impetus to war because they were already out of options.
In other words, launching the “3 day special military operation” was part of that stretching.
These were choices russia made and committed to in their stupidity that made the warpath the only path they would accept in their hubris.
Sell europe gas, buy solar panels from China, problem solved.
No matter how it went, the 3 day operation was always going to increase Europe’s impetus for transitioning. Russia went to war in spite of their economic ties to Europe, not to maintain them.
You’re falling into the trap of just assigning any bad motivations to a group you don’t like, instead of actually considering their perspective.