Various indicators have been in the ‘crash incoming’ for years now. And keeping in that state for longer than normal. Which is making me feel (spurred by Talebs thinking that you either have regular small crashes or irregular catastrophic big ones. which he wrote thinking we were already in the latter era) like we are in big trouble. But it doesn’t seem to be crashing. And even the authoritarian bs isnt pushing us into the crash territory.

Doesnt help that sex workers seem the be doing badly for a while now. Which is imho always a nice informal indicator.