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Cake day: July 21st, 2024

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  • I guess, but also it doesn’t really change anything at this point. We can’t allow nuclear threats to be some Carte blanche that can be used to get your way. We need to resist and make clear that Russia has nothing to win in Ukraine. The opposite would be the true escalation and actors like China, North korea, Iran etc. would instantly try to copy this strategy. If Putin wants to pull the trigger that is on him only and either way I’d much rather we put a stop to it now before this idea of going nuclear establishes any further.


  • This would be the end of Russia really fast, Putin included. I don’t think they are stupid or suicidal on that level. And they have threatened to go nuclear for years now, there’s little reason to believe that this time is any different. And ultimately it also doesn’t change anything, we can’t let Russia bully us with their nuclear threats. Because there will never be an end and if they could conquer the world with nuclear threats they would do so. So let them prepare their missle and have nuclear drills. And send more long range missiles (looking at you Taurus).


  • Russia+NKorea surely can’t go longer than US and Europe, look at the numbers in economy, population etc. Even if the US pulls out, Europe on its own would have more than enough resources to outspend Putin. It’s a matter of political will, that’s all. If Europe would be equally commited to Ukraine then Russia wouldn’t stand a chance. So whether it’s a waste of money or not now is a question of whether Europe is willing to properly support Ukraine. I guess you could make the point that it’s about time we finally decide this, but the means surely are there and at our disposal.




  • I have one, hear me out: it looks like the current german gov will decide to give up and have early elections. Current polls suggest that Merz will become chancellor. On multiple occasions he criticized Scholz for his cautious approach and voiced his support for Taurus deliveries. Not sure if he will go through but I think he specifically mentioned Taurus so often and prominently that it won’t be easy to back pedal now. So it’s likely that Taurus (and with it the Kerch bridge?) is back on the menu.

    (Imho he’s quite a shitty politician otherwise, but maybe he can get at least this right)