IMO your analysis is pretty good. Russia’s tactics are insufficient to successfully hold Ukrainian territory long term. Their only hope is Ukraine’s support evaporates and an isolated Ukraine succumbs to exhaustion. To this end they continue to foster a resurgence of right-wing russia-sympathetic parties throughout Europe, although it doesn’t look like this has been successful nearly as much as they’d hoped.

Honestly, it really is starting to look like russia is nearing collapse. Financial institutions have warned inflation will be bad this year, and economic indicators all show severe strain (although not as severe as I’d like to see). There has been a notable uptick in the amount or public protests and outspoken complaints from civilians and even their milbloggers are expressing frustration with the russian army. Couple this with their admission that Victory day parades are vulnerable and I’m willing to start holding my breathe. All it takes is a spark…

Personally, I’d like to see the Crimean Bridge collapse into the water. The ensuing panic and fury at russia’s helplessness would likely be sufficient at this point.

I know Ukraine has a lot mor casualties, the Bus incident you listed is a fairly tame one compared to other ones in Ukraine.

And yet the only time you say anything is the second a russian building has debris hit it. The glaring implication is Ukrainian civilians didn’t count. It’s telling that a russian mayor makes a claim and THAT is what gets your attention.

Didn’t flap your gums on this post did you? BS trolling plain to see.

Nobody is “celebrating this”.

They didn’t bomb civilians. Even their mayor said ‘no casualties’.

there is ZERO INDICATION Ukraine has been pursuing peace talks not in good faith

I don’t like that this is even a concern. Ukraine is under zero obligation to pursue peace talks in good faith. The fact this is even a concern is a capitulation imo. Russia’s stance is “we want everything and Ukraine gets nothing” and Ukraine is the problem? BS

Estonian Foreign Minister Margus Tsahkna stated that Ukraine’s integration into both the European Union and NATO would serve as a security guarantee for the entire continent.

The shadow fleet exists because it isn’t easy to know who is who. It would be trivial once demonstrated a particular ship is shadow fleet but until then it is just one of thousands using Starlink on the open sea.

IIRC Musk disabled Starlinks geographically. That is, regardless of where you bought it from the Starlink wouldn’t work in Russia.

The shadow fleet is all over the globe and the nationality of the freighters is obfuscated making it a far more complicated endeavour.

Yeah I should have put “tells” in funky quotes.

The air defense system was hit
Light Engine Plane in
near Moscow Kolomna, reports
Source of MNS.
According to our information, the strength
Airline Defense
Received the aircraft for
Ukrainian UAV and opened fire
for an erroneous purpose.
After hitting a light motor vehicle
Lost Control and Crashed
near the Oka River. Both people,
Those on board were killed. 🌻🌻

The device on Cern’s truck will carry about 1,000 antimatter particles, weighing about a billionth of a trillionth of a gram. Should the containment fail, and the antimatter make contact with normal matter, the resulting pulse of energy would be so feeble, the load doesn’t even warrant a radioactive label.

If you can do better, plz do so. I literally used open source image to text and translation tools to spit that out in less time than it took to type this.

B Soverin. Your email. Your business. Now email securely with a 50% discount + free .nl domain name. Switching? Easy. soverin.n/byebigtech

🌻 🌻 🌻 🌻 🌻…

$500g’s… yoink lol